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- THE WEEK, Page 25HEALTH & SCIENCEFear of the Big Whopper
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- Scientists debate earth's vulnerability to asteroids -- then
- and now
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- What's the world coming to? First, astrophysicists said
- comets killed the dinosaurs. Then they implicated asteroids in
- numerous other mass extinctions throughout the earth's history,
- setting the stage for the awful news in October that the comet
- Swift-Tuttle might crash into the planet in the year 2126.
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- The buildup to astronomical apocalypse grows ever more
- dramatic. At the American Geophysical Union's meeting in San
- Francisco, some respected researchers suggested that a large
- space rock 10 to 20 km (6 to 12 miles) in diameter slammed into
- the earth 250 million years ago and set whole continents adrift.
- The announcement by Michael Rampino of New York University and
- Verne Oberbeck of NASA-Ames Research Center stunned fellow
- scientists, though many dismissed it out of hand. Some
- skepticism seemed warranted. Rampino and Oberbeck rely heavily
- on their supposition that certain rocks -- known as tillites and
- long thought to be formed on the earth by glaciers -- were
- actually the result of a celestial collision. But tillites are
- so common that other researchers scoffed at the idea.
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- Finally a bit of good news: some astronomers have revised
- calculations on Swift-Tuttle, and predict that the big comet
- will breeze by us at a comfortable 15 million-mile distance. Of
- course, there is always the possibility that some other
- uncharted space rock may come crashing through the atmosphere.
- Best keep an eye out.
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